| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at #18 Texas (8-5, 6-3) | L 10-52 | 4.05 | 6.60 | -2.56 | 4.64%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Nicholls (3-8, 3-4) | W 35-7 | 6.42 | 4.71 | +1.72 | 87.04%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #2 Alabama (11-2, 6-2) | L 7-63 | 2.64 | 8.63 | -5.99 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | W 21-17 | 6.45 | 4.48 | +1.97 | 90.31%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | L 28-45 | 5.09 | 4.61 | +0.48 | 61.96%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Coastal Carolina (9-4, 6-3) | L 21-28 | 6.06 | 7.47 | -1.41 | 17.92%
| -2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) | L 34-41 | 7.55 | 8.31 | -0.76 | 31.29%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Army (6-6, 1-0) | L 24-48 | 6.12 | 7.30 | -1.18 | 22.22%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Texas State (4-8, 2-6) | W 31-30 | 5.43 | 5.03 | +0.40 | 60.09%
| -4 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-28 | 5.36 | 5.52 | -0.16 | 45.96%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 16-34 | 3.68 | 5.70 | -2.02 | 9.02%
| -1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Southern Miss (7-6, 4-4) | L 10-20 | 3.85 | 7.11 | -3.26 | 2.79%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.22 | 6.19 | -0.965 | 4.33-7.67 (-0.33) | -7 |