| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 7September 7 (Mon) | at Navy (3-7, 3-4) | W 55-3 | 8.17 | 3.17 | +5.00 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Troy (5-6, 3-4) | W 48-7 | 8.10 | 3.35 | +4.75 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 (Fri) | vs Louisiana Tech (5-5, 4-2) | W 45-14 | 8.02 | 4.97 | +3.05 | 97.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs UT San Antonio (7-5, 4-2) | W 27-20 | 6.91 | 5.89 | +1.03 | 74.60%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Fri) | at Houston (3-5, 3-3) | W 43-26 | 8.10 | 5.69 | +2.41 | 94.48%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | W 52-14 | 7.63 | 4.82 | +2.81 | 96.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs Western Kentucky (5-7, 4-3) | W 41-10 | 5.94 | 4.03 | +1.91 | 89.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Fri) | at #21 Boise State (5-2, 5-1) | W 51-17 | 8.82 | 4.77 | +4.05 | 98.18%
| +2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs North Alabama (0-4) | W 66-14 | 9.41 | 5.31 | +4.10 | 98.40%
| +3 |
| Dec 5December 5 | at #18 Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 17-22 | 6.98 | 5.30 | +1.68 | 86.48%
| -1 |
| Dec 12December 12 | vs San Diego State (4-4, 4-2) | W 28-14 | 7.00 | 5.12 | +1.88 | 89.33%
| +1 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Tue) | vs UCF (6-4, 5-3) * | W 49-23 | 8.97 | 4.67 | +4.30 | 99.68%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-1 | 7.84 | 4.83 | +3.017 | 11.24-0.76 (-0.24) | +6 |