| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Memphis (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-35 | 4.02 | 5.55 | -1.53 | 15.80%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | L 22-30 | | | | | |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Indiana State (4-7, 2-6) | L 24-27 | 5.35 | 5.61 | -0.26 | 43.39%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Murray State (4-7, 4-4) | W 17-16 | 4.23 | 5.97 | -1.74 | 12.67%
| -2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs #13 Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | W 21-14 | 5.53 | 4.27 | +1.25 | 79.21%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-8, 2-6) | L 16-31 | 5.85 | 5.92 | -0.07 | 48.19%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Tennessee Tech (5-6, 5-3) | L 20-21 | 5.57 | 4.69 | +0.88 | 71.44%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 41-21 | 7.36 | 6.30 | +1.06 | 75.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #2 Jacksonville State (10-2, 7-0) | L 10-17 | 2.99 | 5.22 | -2.24 | 6.88%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 10-24 | 4.60 | 5.49 | -0.89 | 28.37%
| -2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Tennessee State (7-4, 4-3) | L 31-32 | 4.24 | 6.42 | -2.18 | 7.43%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-8, 3-5 | 4.96 | 5.56 | -0.604 | 3.89-6.11 (-0.89) | -1 |