| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Illinois (3-9, 2-7) | L 3-52 | 2.71 | 8.05 | -5.34 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Missouri State (4-7, 2-6) | L 22-28 | 5.22 | 5.27 | -0.05 | 48.71%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | L 17-50 | | | | | |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | L 16-17 | 5.97 | 4.23 | +1.74 | 87.31%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 45-17 | 5.95 | 6.02 | -0.07 | 48.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 31-38 | 5.20 | 5.58 | -0.38 | 40.45%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at #15 Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | W 40-38 | 6.61 | 6.15 | +0.45 | 61.36%
| +6 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Tennessee State (7-4, 4-3) | W 38-31 | 7.25 | 6.85 | +0.40 | 60.11%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-8, 2-6) | W 41-28 | 5.77 | 5.21 | +0.56 | 64.04%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs #2 Jacksonville State (10-2, 7-0) | L 15-33 | 2.09 | 6.52 | -4.43 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Tennessee Tech (5-6, 5-3) | L 19-55 | 4.78 | 8.17 | -3.39 | 2.73%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 4-4 | 5.13 | 6.08 | -0.951 | 4.13-5.87 (-0.13) | +6 |