| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Wofford (10-4, 7-2) | L 7-21 | 4.43 | 6.26 | -1.83 | 11.40%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 41-7 | 7.15 | 4.50 | +2.64 | 95.81%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Mercer (6-5, 4-4) | L 27-34 | 4.02 | 5.49 | -1.48 | 16.72%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | L 23-44 | 5.48 | 5.72 | -0.24 | 43.89%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky (3-8, 2-6) | W 33-30 | | | | | |
| Oct 8October 8 | at #4 Jacksonville State (10-2, 7-0) | L 21-40 | 3.88 | 6.11 | -2.23 | 6.97%
| -5 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #17 Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | L 24-30 | 6.10 | 6.71 | -0.61 | 34.91%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 21-20 | 4.69 | 5.57 | -0.88 | 28.53%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Tennessee (9-4, 4-4) | L 0-55 | 3.03 | 9.06 | -6.03 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Tennessee State (7-4, 4-3) | W 44-16 | 7.47 | 5.00 | +2.47 | 94.84%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Murray State (4-7, 4-4) | W 55-19 | 8.17 | 4.78 | +3.39 | 97.28%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 5-3 | 5.45 | 5.86 | -0.409 | 4.30-5.70 (+0.70) | -6 |