| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (1-10, 1-8) | W 44-0 | 6.40 | 2.95 | +3.46 | 97.30%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Jackson State (3-8, 3-6) | W 40-26 | 7.16 | 3.15 | +4.01 | 98.05%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Bethune-Cookman (4-6, 4-4) | W 31-24 | 6.16 | 5.33 | +0.83 | 70.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | W 34-30 | 5.97 | 5.61 | +0.36 | 59.10%
| +5 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at #20 Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | L 34-35 | 6.02 | 5.65 | +0.37 | 59.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Eastern Kentucky (3-8, 2-6) | W 35-28 | 5.95 | 6.87 | -0.92 | 27.72%
| +4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Vanderbilt (6-7, 3-5) | L 17-35 | 7.74 | 7.59 | +0.14 | 53.66%
| -2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Murray State (4-7, 4-4) | L 31-38 | 6.85 | 7.25 | -0.40 | 39.85%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 41-40 | 9.75 | 7.95 | +1.79 | 88.14%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-6, 5-3) | L 16-44 | 5.00 | 7.47 | -2.47 | 5.16%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 32-31 | 6.42 | 4.24 | +2.18 | 92.56%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-4, 4-3 | 6.59 | 5.90 | +0.685 | 6.91-4.09 (+0.09) | +6 |