| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Alcorn State (9-4, 7-1) | W 38-10 | 6.59 | 3.42 | +3.18 | 97.15%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Mississippi State (6-7, 3-5) | L 15-38 | 6.49 | 6.23 | +0.26 | 56.68%
| -3 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 47-42 | 8.13 | 8.95 | -0.82 | 29.92%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #2 Alabama (11-2, 6-2) | L 7-49 | 3.90 | 8.57 | -4.67 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs UTEP (1-11, 0-8) | W 31-13 | 7.99 | 5.55 | +2.44 | 94.65%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-27 | 7.71 | 6.00 | +1.71 | 86.98%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Louisiana Tech (10-3, 6-2) | L 30-45 | 6.24 | 7.80 | -1.56 | 15.34%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Rice (3-9, 3-5) | W 20-6 | 5.13 | 2.28 | +2.85 | 96.56%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs UAB (9-5, 6-3) | W 37-2 | 5.80 | 2.98 | +2.82 | 96.48%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 36-17 | 6.75 | 5.48 | +1.27 | 79.56%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 10-28 | 5.32 | 5.62 | -0.30 | 42.38%
| -2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | L 17-34 | 3.40 | 5.90 | -2.51 | 4.92%
| -4 |
| Jan 4January 4 | at Tulane (7-6, 3-5) * | L 13-30 | 5.28 | 5.74 | -0.46 | 38.35%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.07 | 5.71 | +0.359 | 7.39-5.61 (-0.39) | -11 |