| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Alabama State (5-6, 4-3) | W 24-19 | 4.39 | 4.06 | +0.33 | 58.35%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Akron (0-12, 0-8) | W 31-20 | 6.93 | 5.31 | +1.62 | 85.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 35-3 | 7.04 | 4.04 | +3.00 | 96.91%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 13-20 | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.07 | 51.72%
| -3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Rice (3-9, 3-5) | W 35-20 | 6.49 | 4.18 | +2.31 | 93.75%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 33-14 | 7.34 | 3.93 | +3.41 | 97.29%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Old Dominion (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-14 | 5.96 | 2.54 | +3.42 | 97.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | L 7-30 | 4.31 | 4.58 | -0.27 | 43.23%
| -3 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 5-3) | L 2-37 | 2.98 | 5.80 | -2.82 | 3.53%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs UTEP (1-11, 0-8) | W 37-10 | 7.61 | 4.46 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Louisiana Tech (10-3, 6-2) | W 20-14 | 5.27 | 4.15 | +1.11 | 76.44%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 26-21 | 5.08 | 4.19 | +0.89 | 71.71%
| +1 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | L 6-49 | 3.78 | 7.22 | -3.44 | 2.71%
| -1 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) * | L 17-31 | 5.05 | 6.20 | -1.16 | 22.72%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 6-3 | 5.49 | 4.71 | +0.788 | 8.98-5.02 (+0.02) | -8 |