| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at UTEP (4-8, 2-6) | L 22-38 | 4.86 | 6.73 | -1.87 | 10.87%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) | W 32-31 | 4.39 | 4.94 | -0.56 | 36.10%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | L 42-62 | 6.33 | 9.23 | -2.90 | 3.31%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Troy (10-3, 6-2) | L 6-52 | 6.20 | 6.31 | -0.11 | 47.13%
| -5 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 5-3) | W 37-31 | 5.48 | 5.08 | +0.40 | 60.09%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | L 23-55 | 6.59 | 8.04 | -1.45 | 17.15%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | L 19-22 | 5.43 | 5.25 | +0.18 | 54.59%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #9 Texas A&M (8-5, 4-4) | L 10-52 | 4.10 | 7.06 | -2.95 | 3.19%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 7-1) | L 22-41 | 5.15 | 6.76 | -1.61 | 14.58%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 50-10 | 5.89 | 4.56 | +1.33 | 80.64%
| +4 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 7-37 | 4.36 | 7.95 | -3.58 | 2.66%
| -1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | L 28-35 | 6.34 | 6.77 | -0.42 | 39.32%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.46 | 6.56 | -1.101 | 3.70-8.30 (-0.70) | +1 |