| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Miami (OH) (5-7, 4-4) | W 31-26 | 4.86 | 4.99 | -0.13 | 46.58%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at NC State (9-4, 6-2) | L 20-37 | 6.63 | 7.03 | -0.40 | 39.99%
| -2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Kent State (2-10, 1-7) | W 21-0 | 5.01 | 4.25 | +0.77 | 68.86%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-6) | W 38-21 | 4.69 | 4.92 | -0.22 | 44.32%
| +2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | W 14-3 | 5.77 | 4.08 | +1.69 | 86.72%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 35-3 | 5.89 | 3.13 | +2.76 | 96.28%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Fri) | at Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 38-10 | 5.30 | 4.27 | +1.04 | 74.86%
| +2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | L 30-41 | 6.24 | 6.08 | +0.16 | 54.01%
| -3 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Fri) | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 9-0) | L 25-30 | 4.76 | 5.60 | -0.84 | 29.43%
| -4 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Western Kentucky (6-7, 4-4) | W 30-23 | 4.34 | 6.03 | -1.70 | 13.26%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at UT San Antonio (6-5, 3-5) | L 7-9 | 4.98 | 4.55 | +0.43 | 60.73%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Southern Mississippi (8-5, 6-2) | L 27-28 | 5.46 | 4.64 | +0.82 | 70.06%
| -2 |
| Dec 16December 16 | at Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) * | W 31-28 | 7.71 | 4.70 | +3.01 | 96.93%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 5.50 | 4.95 | +0.547 | 7.82-5.18 (+0.18) | -8 |