| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Albany (4-7, 2-6) | W 31-17 | 5.00 | 3.82 | +1.18 | 77.76%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at UMass (4-8) | W 17-7 | 4.75 | 4.55 | +0.21 | 55.19%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs North Carolina (3-9, 1-7) | L 23-53 | 4.86 | 6.72 | -1.86 | 10.94%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at #13 Virginia Tech (9-4, 5-3) | L 0-38 | 2.98 | 6.54 | -3.56 | 2.67%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Florida Atlantic (11-3, 9-0) | L 28-58 | 5.48 | 6.04 | -0.56 | 35.90%
| -2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Marshall (8-5, 4-4) | L 3-35 | 3.13 | 5.89 | -2.76 | 3.72%
| -2 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Fri) | vs Western Kentucky (6-7, 4-4) | L 31-35 | 6.14 | 6.12 | +0.02 | 50.47%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at North Texas (9-5, 7-2) | L 38-45 | 4.60 | 5.97 | -1.38 | 18.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | W 6-0 | 4.13 | 4.71 | -0.59 | 35.33%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | W 37-30 | 7.32 | 5.73 | +1.59 | 85.07%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Rice (1-11, 1-7) | W 24-21 | 5.29 | 5.34 | -0.04 | 48.85%
| +2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | L 10-41 | 5.08 | 7.33 | -2.24 | 6.85%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 4.92 | 5.80 | -0.882 | 4.31-7.69 (+0.69) | -4 |