| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Morgan State (4-7, 2-3) | W 59-7 | 6.46 | 4.24 | +2.22 | 92.99%
| +3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Nebraska (4-8, 3-6) | W 45-42 | 7.47 | 7.10 | +0.37 | 59.22%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at UAB (7-6, 4-4) | L 21-35 | 5.04 | 6.56 | -1.52 | 16.01%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Ball State (5-7, 3-5) | W 34-23 | 6.08 | 6.12 | -0.05 | 48.80%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Coastal Carolina (9-4, 6-3) | L 30-34 | 6.24 | 7.46 | -1.22 | 21.47%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | L 33-41 | 5.83 | 6.60 | -0.76 | 31.18%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #25 James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | W 45-38 | 7.38 | 7.67 | -0.30 | 42.51%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-23 | 5.39 | 7.09 | -1.70 | 13.14%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) | L 31-38 | 5.81 | 6.19 | -0.38 | 40.32%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 (Thu) | at Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | L 17-36 | 5.51 | 6.13 | -0.61 | 34.70%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Marshall (9-4, 5-3) | L 10-23 | 6.00 | 6.15 | -0.15 | 46.14%
| -2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs App State (6-6, 3-5) | W 51-48 | 6.33 | 8.50 | -2.18 | 7.45%
| -2 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Tue) | at Buffalo (7-6, 5-3) * | L 21-23 | 6.63 | 4.86 | +1.76 | 87.72%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 6.18 | 6.54 | -0.359 | 5.42-7.58 (+0.58) | -4 |