| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 26August 26 | vs UTEP (3-9, 2-6) | W 17-14 | 4.30 | 5.06 | -0.76 | 31.30%
| +3 |
| Sep 2September 2 | vs East Tennessee State (3-8, 2-6) | W 49-3 | 4.85 | 3.64 | +1.21 | 78.35%
| +4 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 16-30 | 5.38 | 5.39 | -0.01 | 49.77%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Eastern Michigan (6-7, 4-4) | W 21-0 | 5.24 | 2.38 | +2.87 | 96.62%
| +3 |
| Sep 28September 28 (Thu) | at Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-28 | 5.96 | 4.63 | +1.33 | 80.58%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Wed) | at Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 45-30 | 5.21 | 6.78 | -1.58 | 15.10%
| +3 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Tue) | vs Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 13-31 | 4.63 | 5.55 | -0.92 | 27.58%
| -1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Tue) | vs Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | W 20-17 | 5.10 | 4.71 | +0.39 | 59.72%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Wed) | at Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | W 41-16 | 5.00 | 3.66 | +1.34 | 80.79%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at South Carolina (5-7, 3-5) | L 28-38 | 5.01 | 6.34 | -1.33 | 19.42%
| -3 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-17 | 8.75 | 4.02 | +4.73 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | L 17-20 | 5.74 | 5.55 | +0.19 | 54.87%
| +2 |
| Dec 16December 16 | at Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) * | W 34-31 | 4.83 | 3.98 | +0.84 | 70.56%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.33 | 4.85 | +0.485 | 7.65-5.35 (+1.35) | +3 |