| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | vs #23 Rhode Island (6-5, 4-4) | W 42-35 | 7.31 | 6.93 | +0.38 | 59.49%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Connecticut (3-9, 1-0) | W 35-14 | 5.55 | 4.66 | +0.89 | 71.68%
| +2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-25 | 7.89 | 5.56 | +2.33 | 93.85%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 (Thu) | at Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | W 30-17 | 5.33 | 6.00 | -0.67 | 33.34%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 7-28 | 4.97 | 6.31 | -1.34 | 19.14%
| -2 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | W 41-24 | 6.49 | 6.72 | -0.23 | 44.22%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) | W 20-17 | 5.53 | 4.31 | +1.22 | 78.52%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | L 27-44 | 5.81 | 6.11 | -0.30 | 42.32%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs #23 James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 14-42 | 4.75 | 6.83 | -2.08 | 8.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Appalachian State (9-5, 6-3) | L 14-42 | 3.33 | 8.48 | -5.15 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at #15 LSU (10-3, 6-2) | L 14-56 | 5.70 | 10.98 | -5.28 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | L 24-25 | 3.95 | 4.54 | -0.59 | 35.30%
| -1 |
| Dec 23December 23 | at Utah State (6-7, 4-4) * | W 45-22 | 9.32 | 5.42 | +3.90 | 97.73%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 3-5 | 5.83 | 6.29 | -0.463 | 5.84-7.16 (+1.16) | +2 |