| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs The Citadel (0-11, 0-8) | W 34-0 | 6.39 | 4.16 | +2.24 | 93.09%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs UAB (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-35 | 6.33 | 6.63 | -0.30 | 42.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Wisconsin (7-6, 5-4) | L 14-35 | 5.69 | 6.54 | -0.85 | 29.25%
| -6 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Ball State (4-8, 3-5) | W 40-3 | 6.88 | 3.46 | +3.43 | 97.29%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | W 38-28 | 5.48 | 6.74 | -1.26 | 20.58%
| +4 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 13-41 | 4.18 | 7.11 | -2.93 | 3.24%
| -3 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 38-28 | 5.35 | 5.72 | -0.37 | 40.55%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Thu) | vs Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | W 44-27 | 6.11 | 5.81 | +0.30 | 57.64%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Texas State (8-5, 4-4) | L 24-45 | 6.82 | 6.24 | +0.57 | 64.32%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | L 33-38 | 4.80 | 6.85 | -2.05 | 8.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | L 17-20 | 4.96 | 5.00 | -0.04 | 48.87%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Appalachian State (9-5, 6-3) | L 27-55 | 5.71 | 7.71 | -2.00 | 9.32%
| -3 |
| Dec 16December 16 | at Ohio (10-3, 6-2) * | L 21-41 | 6.08 | 5.68 | +0.40 | 60.11%
| -5 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 5.70 | 6.03 | -0.326 | 5.75-7.25 (+0.25) | -10 |