| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 6September 6 | at Kent State (2-9, 1-6) | W 23-13 | 4.63 | 4.07 | +0.55 | 63.81%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Mississippi State (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-35 | 4.21 | 7.45 | -3.24 | 2.81%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Georgia Southern (9-3, 8-0) | L 6-28 | 3.90 | 6.67 | -2.77 | 3.69%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Idaho (1-10, 1-7) | W 34-10 | 6.81 | 3.69 | +3.12 | 97.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Appalachian State (7-5, 6-2) | W 47-21 | 7.87 | 5.32 | +2.54 | 95.28%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 30-27 | 5.20 | 5.21 | -0.01 | 49.72%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | vs Troy (3-9, 3-5) | W 27-13 | 6.09 | 4.83 | +1.26 | 79.37%
| 0 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Louisiana (9-4, 7-1) | L 9-19 | 4.80 | 6.22 | -1.42 | 17.65%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Arkansas State (7-6, 5-3) | L 10-45 | 3.30 | 4.82 | -1.52 | 15.93%
| -4 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | W 24-20 | 6.00 | 4.83 | +1.17 | 77.49%
| -4 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at South Carolina (7-6, 3-5) | L 12-37 | 3.71 | 7.97 | -4.26 | 0.64%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 (Fri) | vs Navy (8-5) | L 40-42 | 5.25 | 7.41 | -2.16 | 7.59%
| +1 |
| Dec 20December 20 | at Bowling Green (8-6, 5-4) * | L 28-33 | 5.53 | 5.56 | -0.02 | 49.42%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 5.15 | 5.60 | -0.449 | 5.60-7.40 (+0.40) | -7 |