| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at Troy (10-3, 7-1) | W 56-20 | 7.30 | 4.86 | +2.44 | 94.66%
| +3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Connecticut (1-11, 0-8) | W 62-7 | 10.49 | 4.20 | +6.29 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at #24 Oklahoma State (7-6, 3-6) | L 21-44 | 4.81 | 6.63 | -1.81 | 11.62%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Wyoming (6-6, 4-4) | W 34-14 | 5.69 | 5.90 | -0.21 | 44.54%
| +1 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs San Diego State (7-6, 4-4) | L 13-19 | 2.86 | 4.53 | -1.66 | 13.74%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Nevada (8-5, 5-3) | W 31-27 | 6.49 | 5.48 | +1.01 | 74.25%
| -2 |
| Oct 19October 19 (Fri) | vs Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-28 | 7.38 | 7.09 | +0.29 | 57.27%
| +3 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Air Force (5-7, 3-5) | W 48-38 | 7.68 | 6.61 | +1.07 | 75.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs BYU (7-6) | W 21-16 | 4.54 | 5.91 | -1.37 | 18.65%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 (Fri) | vs #23 Fresno State (12-2, 8-1) | W 24-17 | 6.05 | 6.19 | -0.14 | 46.52%
| -1 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Fri) | at New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 45-14 | 6.60 | 4.52 | +2.09 | 91.65%
| +3 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs #21 Utah State (11-2, 7-1) | W 33-24 | 6.61 | 6.31 | +0.30 | 57.64%
| +1 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs #25 Fresno State (12-2, 8-1) | L 16-19 | 4.07 | 4.43 | -0.36 | 40.87%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-2 | 6.11 | 5.63 | +0.481 | 7.27-5.73 (+2.73) | +9 |