| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Fri) | at #4 Wisconsin (8-5, 5-4) | L 3-34 | 4.77 | 7.01 | -2.25 | 6.79%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs #25 Maine (10-4, 7-1) | L 28-31 | 5.40 | 4.63 | +0.77 | 69.02%
| 0 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Louisville (2-10, 0-8) | L 17-20 | 5.28 | 4.95 | +0.33 | 58.44%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Ball State (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-20 | 5.92 | 5.47 | +0.45 | 61.22%
| 0 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Marshall (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-20 | 4.56 | 5.57 | -1.01 | 25.81%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | L 14-40 | 4.57 | 5.90 | -1.32 | 19.46%
| -2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs Old Dominion (4-8, 2-6) | L 34-37 | 6.03 | 6.77 | -0.75 | 31.56%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Florida International (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-38 | 4.33 | 5.58 | -1.24 | 21.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Fri) | at Middle Tennessee (8-6, 7-2) | L 10-29 | 5.26 | 5.45 | -0.18 | 45.30%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | L 15-34 | 4.24 | 6.94 | -2.70 | 3.94%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs UTEP (1-11, 1-7) | W 40-16 | 5.21 | 7.26 | -2.05 | 8.72%
| +4 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Louisiana Tech (8-5, 5-3) | W 30-15 | 3.89 | 5.00 | -1.11 | 23.67%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 4.98 | 5.87 | -0.891 | 3.75-8.25 (-0.75) | +2 |