| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Bucknell (4-7, 1-5) | W 38-3 | 6.71 | 3.65 | +3.06 | 97.01%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Virginia (3-9, 2-6) | W 36-35 | 5.99 | 6.48 | -0.49 | 37.68%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Troy (11-3, 8-1) | W 16-14 | 4.46 | 4.92 | -0.46 | 38.39%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | W 45-38 | 7.01 | 6.25 | +0.76 | 68.78%
| -2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | W 31-23 | 5.71 | 4.41 | +1.31 | 80.20%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 41-13 | 7.11 | 4.18 | +2.93 | 96.77%
| +3 |
| Oct 19October 19 (Thu) | at Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | W 20-9 | 5.87 | 2.73 | +3.14 | 97.12%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | W 30-27 | 6.34 | 5.25 | +1.09 | 75.91%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | W 42-14 | 6.83 | 4.75 | +2.08 | 91.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Connecticut (3-9, 1-0) | W 44-6 | 8.38 | 4.83 | +3.55 | 97.34%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Appalachian State (9-5, 6-3) | L 23-26 | 4.43 | 5.30 | -0.87 | 28.75%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | W 56-14 | 6.97 | 6.07 | +0.90 | 71.79%
| +2 |
| Dec 23December 23 | at Air Force (9-4, 5-3) * | L 21-31 | 5.44 | 5.82 | -0.38 | 40.37%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 7-1 | 6.23 | 4.98 | +1.249 | 9.22-3.78 (+1.78) | +6 |