| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at BYU (5-7, 2-7) | L 0-14 | 3.25 | 3.84 | -0.59 | 35.27%
| -3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Air Force (9-4, 5-3) * | L 3-13 | 1.82 | 4.16 | -2.34 | 6.02%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Houston (4-8, 2-7) | L 7-38 | 3.71 | 6.81 | -3.10 | 2.94%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 (Thu) | vs Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) | L 28-35 | 4.63 | 5.96 | -1.33 | 19.40%
| +2 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Thu) | at Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 16-21 | 5.11 | 7.23 | -2.12 | 8.02%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 (Wed) | at New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | L 13-27 | 5.40 | 6.54 | -1.15 | 22.90%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Wed) | vs Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | L 27-33 | 5.62 | 4.09 | +1.53 | 84.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Wed) | vs UTEP (3-9, 2-6) | L 34-37 | 4.85 | 6.90 | -2.05 | 8.67%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Kennesaw State (3-6) | W 24-21 | 4.28 | 6.06 | -1.78 | 12.06%
| -2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-27 | 6.77 | 7.59 | -0.82 | 29.82%
| +4 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | L 23-28 | 4.93 | 6.58 | -1.65 | 13.98%
| +3 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 23-20 | 3.69 | 5.10 | -1.42 | 17.78%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 4.60 | 5.89 | -1.289 | 2.61-9.39 (+0.39) | +5 |