| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs East Carolina (7-5, 5-3) | W 33-19 | 7.70 | 5.86 | +1.84 | 88.71%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #22 Miami (7-5, 5-3) | L 23-25 | 4.47 | 4.93 | -0.47 | 38.22%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Elon (6-5, 5-3) | W 44-10 | 7.88 | 4.62 | +3.26 | 97.22%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 (Thu) | vs Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | W 31-30 | 6.07 | 6.55 | -0.49 | 37.80%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | W 45-16 | 6.97 | 4.94 | +2.04 | 91.13%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Tue) | at Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 13-41 | 3.84 | 6.59 | -2.76 | 3.74%
| -3 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Wed) | vs #14 Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | W 30-27 | 8.33 | 6.65 | +1.68 | 86.50%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | W 59-28 | 7.04 | 4.26 | +2.78 | 96.35%
| +5 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 48-14 | 6.24 | 3.39 | +2.86 | 96.59%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | W 31-7 | 5.24 | 4.00 | +1.24 | 78.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 45-7 | 5.63 | 3.55 | +2.08 | 91.62%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-3 | 5.98 | 2.77 | +3.21 | 97.18%
| 0 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at #24 Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 16-24 | 4.53 | 5.45 | -0.92 | 27.65%
| -1 |
| Dec 18December 18 | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) * | L 38-59 | 7.81 | 8.49 | -0.69 | 33.00%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-4, 7-2 | 6.31 | 5.19 | +1.119 | 9.65-4.35 (+0.35) | -3 |