Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Grambling (3-8, 2-7) | W 58-3 | 7.15 | 2.00 | +5.15 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #3 Ohio State (11-2, 8-1) | L 12-45 | 3.63 | 9.96 | -6.33 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Memphis (7-6, 3-5) | L 32-44 | 5.61 | 7.49 | -1.89 | 10.63%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | L 26-29 | 4.87 | 5.79 | -0.92 | 27.59%
| -2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Louisiana Monroe (-) | W 45-28 | 4.61 | 5.09 | -0.48 | 38.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | L 20-42 | 5.04 | 7.48 | -2.44 | 5.35%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Southern Mississippi (-) | L 19-20 | 4.40 | 5.00 | -0.60 | 35.03%
| +2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | L 18-38 | 5.11 | 6.00 | -0.89 | 28.40%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) | L 3-31 | 2.72 | 5.10 | -2.37 | 5.79%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs UMass (-) | W 35-33 | 6.55 | 5.05 | +1.49 | 83.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Texas State (4-8, 2-6) | L 13-16 | 4.62 | 4.53 | +0.09 | 52.16%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 19-48 | 4.18 | 6.24 | -2.07 | 8.56%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 1-7 | 4.86 | 5.83 | -0.965 | 3.95-8.05 (-0.95) | +2 |