| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Bowling Green (7-6, 5-3) | W 34-24 | 5.64 | 5.29 | +0.35 | 58.75%
| +4 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | W 33-17 | 6.83 | 6.78 | +0.05 | 51.28%
| +2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Buffalo (3-9, 3-5) | W 55-27 | 8.75 | 4.48 | +4.27 | 99.45%
| +2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | W 38-6 | 8.00 | 3.70 | +4.30 | 99.65%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Thu) | vs Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) | W 21-16 | 7.23 | 5.11 | +2.12 | 91.97%
| 0 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Tue) | at Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) | W 31-13 | 5.55 | 4.63 | +0.92 | 72.39%
| +1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Tue) | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 42-35 | 6.68 | 6.79 | -0.11 | 47.07%
| +1 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Tue) | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | W 42-29 | 7.13 | 7.33 | -0.20 | 44.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-30 | 8.60 | 6.16 | +2.44 | 94.67%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | W 38-10 | 6.59 | 3.37 | +3.22 | 97.19%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs UMass (3-9, 1-1) | W 49-25 | 8.34 | 5.93 | +2.42 | 94.50%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at UTEP (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-28 | 6.25 | 4.84 | +1.41 | 82.16%
| -2 |
| Dec 1December 1 (Fri) | vs New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | W 49-35 | 10.17 | 7.92 | +2.25 | 93.23%
| +1 |
| Jan 1January 1 (Mon) | at Oregon (12-2, 8-2) * | L 6-45 | 5.65 | 8.52 | -2.87 | 3.39%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 13-1, 9-0 | 7.23 | 5.72 | +1.516 | 10.31-3.69 (+2.69) | +7 |