| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 26August 26 | at Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) | L 14-17 | 5.06 | 4.30 | +0.76 | 68.66%
| -3 |
| Sep 2September 2 | vs #7 Incarnate Word (9-2, 6-1) | W 28-14 | 6.71 | 5.33 | +1.39 | 81.67%
| +1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Northwestern (8-5, 5-4) | L 7-38 | 4.91 | 6.63 | -1.72 | 12.90%
| -3 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Arizona (10-3, 7-2) | L 10-31 | 5.44 | 8.50 | -3.06 | 3.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs UNLV (9-5, 6-3) | L 28-45 | 4.86 | 6.63 | -1.77 | 12.25%
| -2 |
| Sep 29September 29 (Fri) | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | L 10-24 | 4.45 | 5.77 | -1.31 | 19.66%
| -1 |
| Oct 11October 11 (Wed) | at Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | W 27-14 | 7.23 | 5.67 | +1.56 | 84.59%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Wed) | vs New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | L 7-28 | 4.83 | 7.32 | -2.49 | 5.01%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Wed) | at Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-34 | 6.90 | 4.85 | +2.05 | 91.32%
| 0 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | L 13-21 | 5.75 | 5.39 | +0.37 | 59.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | L 30-34 | 6.38 | 6.25 | +0.13 | 53.38%
| -2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs #25 Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 28-42 | 4.84 | 6.25 | -1.41 | 17.82%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.60 | 6.08 | -0.483 | 5.09-6.91 (-2.09) | -6 |