| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at #4 Alabama (12-2, 9-0) | L 7-56 | 3.46 | 6.73 | -3.28 | 2.79%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Missouri (11-2, 6-2) | L 19-23 | 4.39 | 4.86 | -0.48 | 38.01%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Murray State (2-9, 1-7) | W 35-14 | 8.47 | 5.73 | +2.74 | 96.20%
| +2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Colorado State (5-7, 3-5) | L 23-31 | 5.12 | 6.00 | -0.88 | 28.53%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 (Thu) | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | L 10-31 | 5.11 | 5.55 | -0.44 | 38.91%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Wed) | vs Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) | L 30-45 | 6.78 | 5.21 | +1.58 | 84.88%
| -3 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Tue) | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-23 | 5.35 | 5.74 | -0.39 | 40.12%
| +1 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Tue) | at Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 35-42 | 6.79 | 6.68 | +0.11 | 52.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at New Mexico State (10-5, 7-2) | L 7-13 | 5.16 | 6.00 | -0.84 | 29.54%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | W 40-6 | 6.78 | 3.69 | +3.08 | 97.05%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs UTEP (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-30 | 6.25 | 6.38 | -0.13 | 46.58%
| +2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) | L 20-23 | 5.10 | 3.69 | +1.42 | 82.19%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.72 | 5.50 | +0.220 | 6.38-5.62 (-2.38) | -5 |