| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 11September 11 | vs #14 Arkansas (10-3, 6-2) * | L 7-31 | 3.66 | 6.84 | -3.18 | 2.86%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Arkansas State (4-8, 4-4) | L 20-34 | 6.55 | 5.93 | +0.62 | 65.47%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Southeastern Louisiana (2-9, 1-7) | W 21-20 | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.01 | 50.12%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #10 Auburn (14-0, 9-0) | L 3-52 | 3.87 | 9.05 | -5.19 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 20-17 | 5.46 | 4.59 | +0.88 | 71.33%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | W 35-30 | 5.12 | 5.55 | -0.43 | 39.09%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Middle Tennessee (6-7, 5-3) | L 10-38 | 4.22 | 6.39 | -2.17 | 7.47%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Troy (8-5, 6-2) | W 28-14 | 5.59 | 4.29 | +1.30 | 80.03%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Florida International (7-6, 6-2) | L 35-42 | 6.38 | 6.96 | -0.58 | 35.57%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at #5 LSU (11-2, 6-2) | L 0-51 | 3.45 | 4.77 | -1.32 | 19.52%
| -5 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs North Texas (3-9, 3-5) | W 49-37 | 6.68 | 6.07 | +0.60 | 65.03%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Louisiana (3-9, 3-5) | L 22-23 | 4.37 | 5.64 | -1.27 | 20.44%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 4-4 | 4.99 | 5.85 | -0.854 | 4.57-7.43 (+0.43) | -6 |