| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Southern (8-3, 8-1) | W 38-21 | 6.75 | 4.82 | +1.93 | 89.85%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #14 Oklahoma (11-2, 9-0) | L 17-59 | 5.30 | 7.90 | -2.60 | 4.42%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | L 21-23 | 5.65 | 4.73 | +0.92 | 72.25%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Auburn (8-5, 5-3) | L 7-58 | 3.86 | 8.19 | -4.33 | 0.08%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | L 31-34 | 6.88 | 5.83 | +1.05 | 75.11%
| -4 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 40-34 | 4.97 | 5.73 | -0.76 | 31.34%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-59 | 3.73 | 10.03 | -6.30 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 7-1) | L 10-51 | 4.73 | 6.03 | -1.30 | 19.99%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | W 42-35 | 5.41 | 6.62 | -1.20 | 21.75%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Georgia State (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-23 | 5.38 | 8.29 | -2.91 | 3.28%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 17-42 | 4.75 | 9.23 | -4.48 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 5-3) | L 3-30 | 2.83 | 3.64 | -0.81 | 30.14%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.11 | 6.69 | -1.578 | 3.48-8.52 (+0.52) | -11 |