| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Boise State (10-3, 6-2) | L 10-45 | 3.66 | 8.00 | -4.34 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs #10 McNeese (6-5, 5-4) | W 30-22 | 6.39 | 4.14 | +2.26 | 93.28%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | W 28-23 | 8.26 | 5.12 | +3.14 | 97.11%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Tulane (4-8, 1-7) | L 39-41 | 3.73 | 4.20 | -0.47 | 38.18%
| -3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | L 31-37 | 5.08 | 5.48 | -0.40 | 39.87%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Wed) | vs Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 0-24 | 3.51 | 5.91 | -2.39 | 5.67%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 27-3 | 5.68 | 3.45 | +2.23 | 93.03%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | L 13-23 | 3.80 | 5.49 | -1.69 | 13.39%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | W 33-26 | 6.99 | 4.71 | +2.28 | 93.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Georgia (8-5, 4-4) | L 21-35 | 6.64 | 6.78 | -0.14 | 46.51%
| -2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Arkansas State (8-5, 7-1) | W 24-19 | 5.12 | 5.79 | -0.67 | 33.46%
| +1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 30-3 | 3.64 | 2.83 | +0.81 | 69.83%
| +3 |
| Dec 17December 17 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) * | L 21-28 | 3.65 | 6.50 | -2.85 | 3.45%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 4.99 | 5.30 | -0.311 | 6.27-6.73 (-0.27) | +1 |