| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs Montana State (4-7, 2-6) | W 20-17 | 6.16 | 4.12 | +2.03 | 91.09%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #8 Washington (12-2, 9-1) | L 14-59 | 4.24 | 7.65 | -3.41 | 2.72%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Washington State (8-5, 7-2) | L 6-56 | 3.78 | 6.44 | -2.66 | 4.11%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at UNLV (4-8, 3-5) | W 33-30 | 5.32 | 7.19 | -1.86 | 10.94%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Troy (10-3, 6-2) | L 13-34 | 3.64 | 7.07 | -3.42 | 2.72%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-31 | 5.83 | 6.88 | -1.05 | 24.86%
| +4 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 55-23 | 8.04 | 6.59 | +1.45 | 82.83%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 19-37 | 5.33 | 6.05 | -0.72 | 32.20%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Louisiana (6-7, 5-3) | W 23-13 | 5.49 | 3.80 | +1.69 | 86.59%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 47-14 | 6.71 | 3.72 | +2.99 | 96.89%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs South Alabama (6-7, 2-6) | W 38-31 | 5.90 | 5.86 | +0.04 | 50.90%
| -1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Georgia State (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-12 | 4.42 | 5.87 | -1.45 | 17.13%
| +6 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Thu) | at Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) * | W 61-50 | 7.39 | 9.09 | -1.70 | 13.17%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-2 | 5.61 | 6.23 | -0.617 | 5.16-7.84 (+3.84) | +11 |