| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at #9 Tennessee (9-4, 4-4) | L 13-20 | 4.42 | 4.43 | -0.01 | 49.82%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 7-1) | W 31-7 | 5.93 | 4.87 | +1.06 | 75.36%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs #25 Miami (9-4, 5-3) | L 10-45 | 3.65 | 9.31 | -5.66 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Akron (5-7, 3-5) | W 45-38 | 7.34 | 7.04 | +0.29 | 57.42%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Georgia State (3-9, 2-6) | W 17-3 | 4.95 | 3.49 | +1.45 | 82.83%
| +3 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Wed) | at Louisiana (6-7, 5-3) | W 24-0 | 5.91 | 3.51 | +2.39 | 94.33%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Idaho (9-4, 6-2) | W 37-19 | 6.05 | 5.33 | +0.72 | 67.77%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (5-7, 4-4) | W 34-10 | 6.73 | 2.89 | +3.84 | 97.61%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Texas State (2-10, 0-8) | W 35-10 | 7.32 | 2.99 | +4.33 | 99.93%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Troy (10-3, 6-2) | L 24-28 | 5.06 | 5.54 | -0.48 | 37.94%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 42-17 | 9.23 | 4.75 | +4.48 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-7 | 7.95 | 4.36 | +3.58 | 97.35%
| +1 |
| Dec 17December 17 | at Toledo (9-4, 6-2) * | W 31-28 | 5.07 | 6.93 | -1.85 | 11.07%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 6.13 | 4.99 | +1.138 | 8.71-4.29 (+1.29) | +8 |