| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs VMI (5-7, 4-4) | W 56-17 | 7.56 | 3.84 | +3.73 | 97.46%
| -1 |
| Sep 6September 6 (Fri) | at #24 Boise State (12-2, 9-0) | L 7-14 | 4.00 | 5.40 | -1.40 | 18.16%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Ohio (7-6, 5-3) | W 33-31 | 6.91 | 7.68 | -0.78 | 30.84%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Cincinnati (11-3, 7-2) | L 14-52 | 4.34 | 6.82 | -2.48 | 5.09%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | L 13-24 | 7.05 | 6.03 | +1.02 | 74.44%
| -4 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Old Dominion (1-11, 0-8) | W 31-17 | 5.69 | 3.96 | +1.73 | 87.25%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Fri) | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | W 36-31 | 6.77 | 5.59 | +1.18 | 77.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | W 26-23 | 5.99 | 6.27 | -0.28 | 42.90%
| +3 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Rice (3-9, 3-5) | W 20-7 | 6.02 | 4.05 | +1.96 | 90.29%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Fri) | vs Louisiana Tech (10-3, 6-2) | W 31-10 | 5.70 | 3.68 | +2.03 | 91.04%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Charlotte (7-6, 5-3) | L 13-24 | 4.42 | 5.78 | -1.36 | 18.83%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Florida International (6-7, 3-5) | W 30-27 | 3.77 | 4.74 | -0.97 | 26.60%
| 0 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Mon) | vs UCF (10-3, 6-2) * | L 25-48 | 5.09 | 7.53 | -2.44 | 5.35%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.76 | 5.54 | +0.221 | 6.66-6.34 (+1.34) | -2 |