| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs #24 Gardner-Webb (7-5, 5-1) | W 45-24 | 5.88 | 5.00 | +0.88 | 71.43%
| +3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at #17 North Carolina (8-5, 4-4) | L 34-40 | 5.68 | 7.03 | -1.35 | 19.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs East Carolina (2-10, 1-7) | W 43-28 | 6.20 | 3.87 | +2.33 | 93.87%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Wyoming (9-4, 5-3) | L 19-22 | 4.63 | 4.95 | -0.32 | 41.92%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 41-40 | 7.05 | 7.03 | +0.02 | 50.56%
| -2 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Tue) | vs Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 24-27 | 7.30 | 7.80 | -0.50 | 37.54%
| -1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | L 21-28 | 5.57 | 6.39 | -0.82 | 29.97%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 48-38 | 8.79 | 6.92 | +1.87 | 89.10%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | W 31-9 | 5.83 | 5.14 | +0.69 | 67.08%
| +3 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | W 42-14 | 8.48 | 3.33 | +5.15 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at #18 James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | W 26-23 | 5.30 | 4.43 | +0.87 | 71.21%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 55-27 | 7.71 | 5.71 | +2.00 | 90.67%
| +3 |
| Dec 2December 2 | at Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 23-49 | 4.79 | 7.72 | -2.93 | 3.24%
| -1 |
| Dec 16December 16 | vs Miami (OH) (11-3, 8-1) * | W 13-9 | 5.32 | 4.37 | +0.95 | 72.95%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 6-3 | 6.22 | 5.74 | +0.483 | 8.39-5.61 (+0.61) | +3 |