| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #6 LSU (15-0, 9-0) | L 3-55 | 1.96 | 6.56 | -4.60 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #6 Maine (6-6, 4-4) | W 26-18 | 7.51 | 5.20 | +2.31 | 93.68%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Minnesota (11-2, 7-2) | L 32-35 | 4.71 | 4.84 | -0.12 | 46.90%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Louisiana (11-3, 7-2) | L 24-37 | 3.71 | 7.33 | -3.63 | 2.63%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 20-17 | 4.68 | 6.33 | -1.66 | 13.80%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 30-27 | 4.93 | 3.74 | +1.19 | 78.03%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs New Mexico State (2-10) | W 41-7 | 6.77 | 3.48 | +3.29 | 97.23%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Thu) | at Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) | W 24-21 | 5.85 | 5.18 | +0.68 | 66.71%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | L 28-49 | 5.12 | 8.15 | -3.03 | 3.05%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 51-29 | 5.24 | 5.52 | -0.28 | 42.88%
| +3 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | L 33-38 | 6.33 | 7.95 | -1.62 | 14.43%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) | W 38-10 | 6.18 | 4.53 | +1.64 | 85.96%
| 0 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs Liberty (8-5) * | L 16-23 | 4.45 | 5.58 | -1.14 | 23.08%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.22 | 5.66 | -0.435 | 5.68-7.32 (+1.32) | +8 |