| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at #25 Iowa (10-4, 7-3) | L 14-24 | 4.57 | 4.12 | +0.45 | 61.38%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Idaho State (3-8, 3-5) | W 78-28 | 8.57 | 5.11 | +3.46 | 97.30%
| +3 |
| Sep 15September 15 (Fri) | at Air Force (9-4, 5-3) | L 21-39 | 4.95 | 6.29 | -1.34 | 19.09%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 38-45 | 6.25 | 7.01 | -0.76 | 31.19%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Connecticut (3-9, 1-0) | W 34-33 | 7.43 | 6.14 | +1.29 | 79.81%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Colorado State (5-7, 3-5) | W 44-24 | 7.61 | 3.86 | +3.75 | 97.49%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 (Fri) | vs Fresno State (9-4, 4-4) | L 32-37 | 6.93 | 5.76 | +1.16 | 77.44%
| -2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at San José State (7-6, 6-2) | L 21-42 | 4.26 | 5.21 | -0.95 | 26.94%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at San Diego State (4-8, 2-6) | W 32-24 | 5.26 | 5.41 | -0.15 | 46.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Nevada (2-10, 2-6) | W 41-24 | 6.16 | 4.96 | +1.20 | 78.12%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Boise State (8-6, 7-2) | L 10-45 | 5.26 | 6.98 | -1.72 | 12.82%
| -4 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Fri) | at New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 44-41 | 6.49 | 5.92 | +0.57 | 64.22%
| -1 |
| Dec 23December 23 | vs Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) * | L 22-45 | 5.42 | 9.32 | -3.90 | 2.27%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 4-4 | 6.13 | 5.81 | +0.328 | 6.94-6.06 (-0.94) | -5 |