| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs #15 North Alabama (0-1) | W 31-12 | 5.91 | 4.13 | +1.78 | 87.92%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #21 LSU (8-4, 5-3) | L 13-34 | 5.33 | 6.63 | -1.29 | 20.06%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Coastal Carolina (10-2) | W 27-26 | 6.14 | 5.27 | +0.87 | 71.08%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Liberty (6-5, 4-1) | W 48-19 | 8.28 | 2.62 | +5.66 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-6, 5-3) | W 40-21 | 6.11 | 3.88 | +2.23 | 93.03%
| +5 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 34-14 | 5.66 | 3.62 | +2.04 | 91.16%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Eastern Kentucky (3-8, 2-6) | W 24-7 | 4.56 | 3.94 | +0.62 | 65.39%
| +3 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs #22 Eastern Illinois (6-5, 4-4) | W 47-14 | 6.25 | 3.85 | +2.40 | 94.41%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 17-10 | 5.22 | 2.99 | +2.24 | 93.12%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Murray State (4-7, 4-4) | W 33-15 | 6.52 | 2.09 | +4.43 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs UT Martin (7-5, 6-2) | W 33-7 | 5.10 | 4.03 | +1.07 | 75.61%
| +2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Youngstown State (12-4, 6-2) | L 24-40 | 6.09 | 8.81 | -2.72 | 3.88%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-2, 7-0 | 5.95 | 4.19 | +1.753 | 8.96-3.04 (+1.04) | +10 |