| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Thu) | at Southern Mississippi (3-7, 2-4) | W 32-21 | 7.74 | 5.93 | +1.81 | 88.32%
| -2 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Tulane (6-6, 3-5) | L 24-27 | 5.57 | 5.67 | -0.10 | 47.51%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 (Thu) | vs UAB (6-3, 4-1) | L 10-42 | 5.03 | 7.27 | -2.24 | 6.87%
| -1 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | W 30-20 | 4.75 | 5.27 | -0.52 | 36.97%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Louisiana Monroe (0-10, 0-7) | W 38-14 | 6.80 | 6.23 | +0.57 | 64.21%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (8-5, 4-4) | L 17-24 | 4.40 | 6.05 | -1.65 | 13.89%
| 0 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at #15 Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 6-23 | 4.87 | 7.67 | -2.80 | 3.58%
| 0 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at #25 Louisiana (10-1, 7-1) | L 10-38 | 3.67 | 7.03 | -3.36 | 2.75%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Georgia State (6-4, 4-4) | L 14-31 | 4.05 | 7.72 | -3.67 | 2.60%
| +3 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at Arkansas State (4-7, 2-6) | W 38-31 | 6.40 | 6.77 | -0.37 | 40.59%
| -1 |
| Dec 5December 5 | vs Troy (5-6, 3-4) | L 0-29 | 3.57 | 5.38 | -1.81 | 11.64%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 3-5 | 5.14 | 6.45 | -1.304 | 3.19-7.81 (+0.81) | -2 |