| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Nicholls (3-8, 3-4) | W 48-7 | 6.87 | 3.00 | +3.86 | 97.66%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Central Michigan (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-24 | 5.77 | 4.77 | +1.00 | 74.10%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at UCLA (9-4, 6-3) | L 31-32 | 5.70 | 6.08 | -0.37 | 40.53%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-14 | 6.48 | 4.89 | +1.59 | 85.19%
| +4 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | W 20-17 | 4.63 | 4.18 | +0.45 | 61.20%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs UL Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 41-34 | 8.31 | 7.55 | +0.76 | 68.67%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Thu) | vs Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 6-10 | 4.11 | 4.43 | -0.32 | 41.88%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 31-3 | 5.10 | 2.72 | +2.37 | 94.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 38-31 | 6.19 | 5.81 | +0.38 | 59.64%
| -2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Texas State (4-8, 2-6) | W 38-21 | 5.21 | 3.43 | +1.77 | 87.84%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Southern Miss (7-6, 4-4) | W 27-20 | 6.74 | 4.45 | +2.29 | 93.55%
| -2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-20 | 5.10 | 6.25 | -1.14 | 22.95%
| -1 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Wed) | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 6-2) * | L 23-44 | 5.26 | 8.26 | -2.99 | 3.11%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 5.80 | 5.14 | +0.659 | 8.31-4.69 (+1.69) | +4 |