| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at #24 Tulane (11-3, 8-1) | L 17-37 | 4.27 | 8.23 | -3.95 | 2.13%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Southeastern Louisiana (3-8, 3-4) | W 35-17 | 8.21 | 6.65 | +1.56 | 84.71%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at Oklahoma State (10-4, 7-3) | W 33-7 | 6.27 | 3.25 | +3.02 | 96.95%
| +2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Central Michigan (5-7, 3-5) | L 30-34 | 6.75 | 5.15 | +1.61 | 85.35%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 23-31 | 4.41 | 5.71 | -1.31 | 19.77%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 55-7 | 7.27 | 4.17 | +3.10 | 97.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 17October 17 (Tue) | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 55-3 | 8.63 | 2.66 | +5.97 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) | L 20-33 | 6.47 | 5.27 | +1.19 | 78.05%
| -5 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Thu) | at Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 10-28 | 4.67 | 6.06 | -1.39 | 18.18%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Arkansas State (6-7, 4-4) | W 21-14 | 5.29 | 4.72 | +0.57 | 64.30%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | W 28-0 | 5.59 | 3.70 | +1.89 | 89.39%
| +2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Texas State (8-5, 4-4) | L 44-52 | 6.03 | 6.94 | -0.92 | 27.74%
| 0 |
| Dec 23December 23 | at Eastern Michigan (6-7, 4-4) | W 59-10 | 8.64 | 2.46 | +6.18 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.41 | 5.02 | +1.388 | 8.64-4.36 (-1.64) | +2 |