| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 26August 26 | vs UMass (3-9, 1-1) | L 30-41 | 7.23 | 7.20 | +0.03 | 50.67%
| -3 |
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 58-21 | 10.16 | 4.67 | +5.49 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 17-33 | 6.78 | 6.83 | -0.05 | 48.68%
| -2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 27-17 | 8.82 | 5.65 | +3.17 | 97.15%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Hawai'i (5-8, 3-5) | L 17-20 | 7.13 | 5.12 | +2.01 | 90.81%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Wed) | vs Florida International (4-8, 1-7) | W 34-17 | 7.08 | 6.33 | +0.75 | 68.52%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 (Wed) | vs Sam Houston State (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-13 | 6.54 | 5.40 | +1.15 | 77.07%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Wed) | at UTEP (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-7 | 7.32 | 4.83 | +2.49 | 94.99%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Tue) | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-24 | 5.54 | 5.30 | +0.24 | 56.12%
| +2 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 13-7 | 6.00 | 5.16 | +0.84 | 70.42%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | W 38-29 | 6.02 | 6.52 | -0.51 | 37.31%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Auburn (6-7, 3-5) | W 31-10 | 6.37 | 4.73 | +1.64 | 85.83%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) | W 20-17 | 5.55 | 5.74 | -0.19 | 45.09%
| -2 |
| Dec 1December 1 (Fri) | at #24 Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 35-49 | 7.92 | 10.17 | -2.25 | 6.77%
| -1 |
| Dec 16December 16 | at Fresno State (9-4, 4-4) * | L 10-37 | 3.33 | 7.69 | -4.36 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-5, 7-2 | 6.73 | 6.14 | +0.594 | 9.29-5.71 (+0.71) | -2 |