| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Charlotte (2-4, 2-2) | W 35-20 | 7.21 | 4.77 | +2.44 | 94.69%
| -1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Marshall (7-3, 4-2) | L 7-17 | 5.06 | 5.41 | -0.36 | 40.93%
| -1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Campbell (0-4) | W 52-21 | 6.86 | 5.35 | +1.51 | 83.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Thu) | vs Arkansas State (4-7, 2-6) | W 45-17 | 7.78 | 4.78 | +3.00 | 96.91%
| 0 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Louisiana Monroe (0-10, 0-7) | W 31-13 | 6.86 | 3.58 | +3.28 | 97.23%
| +2 |
| Nov 7November 7 | at Texas State (2-10, 2-6) | W 38-17 | 6.00 | 6.18 | -0.18 | 45.50%
| +2 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Georgia State (6-4, 4-4) | W 17-13 | 4.25 | 4.23 | +0.02 | 50.52%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at #15 Coastal Carolina (11-1, 8-0) | L 23-34 | 5.46 | 6.71 | -1.25 | 20.88%
| -2 |
| Nov 28November 28 | vs Troy (5-6, 3-4) | W 47-10 | 8.15 | 4.20 | +3.95 | 97.86%
| +1 |
| Dec 4December 4 (Fri) | vs #25 Louisiana (10-1, 7-1) | L 21-24 | 4.14 | 3.31 | +0.83 | 70.38%
| -3 |
| Dec 12December 12 | at Georgia Southern (8-5, 4-4) | W 34-26 | 5.22 | 5.92 | -0.70 | 32.76%
| +2 |
| Dec 21December 21 (Mon) | at North Texas (4-6, 3-4) * | W 56-28 | 11.36 | 5.23 | +6.13 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-3, 6-2 | 6.42 | 4.96 | +1.462 | 8.31-3.69 (+0.69) | +1 |