| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #7 Oklahoma (12-2, 9-1) | L 14-63 | 4.38 | 10.48 | -6.11 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Air Force (5-7, 3-5) | W 33-26 | 7.61 | 5.41 | +2.20 | 92.80%
| 0 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Bethune-Cookman (7-5, 5-2) | W 49-28 | 6.14 | 5.72 | +0.42 | 60.52%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 (Fri) | at #16 UCF (12-1, 9-0) | L 36-56 | 5.81 | 6.65 | -0.84 | 29.42%
| -3 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Middle Tennessee (8-6, 7-2) | L 24-25 | 5.13 | 5.21 | -0.08 | 48.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Old Dominion (4-8, 2-6) | W 52-33 | 8.40 | 5.83 | +2.58 | 95.47%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Marshall (9-4, 6-2) | L 7-31 | 4.54 | 4.65 | -0.11 | 47.22%
| -5 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Fri) | vs Louisiana Tech (8-5, 5-3) | L 13-21 | 5.19 | 4.40 | +0.79 | 69.47%
| -2 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Florida International (9-4, 6-2) | W 49-14 | 7.84 | 4.93 | +2.92 | 96.74%
| +3 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Western Kentucky (3-9, 2-6) | W 34-15 | 6.94 | 4.24 | +2.70 | 96.06%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Thu) | at North Texas (9-4, 5-3) | L 38-41 | 5.96 | 7.10 | -1.13 | 23.15%
| 0 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | L 24-27 | 6.39 | 5.67 | +0.72 | 67.72%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 6.18 | 5.81 | +0.364 | 7.27-4.73 (-2.27) | -7 |