| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Virginia Tech (7-6, 5-3) | L 17-36 | 4.34 | 5.04 | -0.70 | 32.60%
| -3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) | W 38-31 | 7.26 | 6.03 | +1.23 | 78.79%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Wake Forest (4-8, 1-7) | L 24-27 | 4.76 | 4.87 | -0.11 | 47.26%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Texas A&M-Commerce (2-9, 2-5) | W 10-9 | 5.62 | 3.68 | +1.95 | 90.09%
| -4 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | L 35-41 | 8.04 | 5.52 | +2.51 | 95.12%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 17-13 | 5.81 | 3.94 | +1.87 | 89.11%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Appalachian State (9-5, 6-3) | W 28-21 | 6.39 | 5.57 | +0.82 | 70.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at #25 James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 27-30 | 5.25 | 6.34 | -1.09 | 24.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 24-28 | 5.23 | 6.03 | -0.80 | 30.38%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at #25 Liberty (13-1, 9-0) | L 10-38 | 3.37 | 6.59 | -3.22 | 2.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 20-17 | 5.00 | 4.96 | +0.04 | 51.09%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | W 25-24 | 4.54 | 3.95 | +0.59 | 64.67%
| +1 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Mon) | vs Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) * | L 35-38 | 6.02 | 5.18 | +0.84 | 70.59%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 5.39 | 5.21 | +0.175 | 7.47-5.53 (-1.47) | +3 |